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Apr 22, 2013
04/13
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revenue environment. not every balance sheet is going to execute equally in this environment. you've got some opportunities for -- >> what it means is the fed is going to stay the course on quantitative easing, basically. >> i think that is very clear. >> greg, tell us about this new study you're out with today. >> we found three in four americans say they are not more inclined to invest in the stock market now given the fact that interest rates are at record lows and the stock market's recently hit highs. that's the same as we found a year ago. now, a year ago, you know, in the past year interest rates have come down further. the market's gone up more. yet people are not swaying. >> what's their big fear? that they've missed it already? they're afraid it's too high? they're going to pick moment? is there too many risk? what's the big fear? >> some of each. quite frankly the memories of 2008 are very fresh. a lot of people, 2008 wasn't the first time they'd been burned. they got burned in the tech bust. b
revenue environment. not every balance sheet is going to execute equally in this environment. you've got some opportunities for -- >> what it means is the fed is going to stay the course on quantitative easing, basically. >> i think that is very clear. >> greg, tell us about this new study you're out with today. >> we found three in four americans say they are not more inclined to invest in the stock market now given the fact that interest rates are at record lows and...
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Apr 18, 2013
04/13
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we're seeing a difficult environment. now, people are a lot more positive about the u.s., so they're overweighting the u.s. the s. is still ary, very strong mark so many overweight that. and we're seeing a lot of regions like europe where investors are pretty much hands-off. so it depends, really, when you ask about how investors behave, where they come from, what region they're located in, and what region they invest in. european investors are, i would say, largely sitting on the sidelines. >> i'm going to come back to you in a moment. but let me ask you first about what's going on in the united states. a big debate about when the federal reserve is going to start winding down the stimulus. is there a downside risk to all of this free money, whether you look at what the fed has been doing with qe or what japan has been doing in terms of the stimulus there, the ecb as well. >> well, yes, it's very clear that central banks have been playing a very dominant role in the economy over the last couple of years. when i was at th
we're seeing a difficult environment. now, people are a lot more positive about the u.s., so they're overweighting the u.s. the s. is still ary, very strong mark so many overweight that. and we're seeing a lot of regions like europe where investors are pretty much hands-off. so it depends, really, when you ask about how investors behave, where they come from, what region they're located in, and what region they invest in. european investors are, i would say, largely sitting on the sidelines....
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Apr 19, 2013
04/13
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you can't bet on what you think in an environment like this. you've got to understand that if there is a network, we can't pretend that there's not. so when you're looking at these two kids, to me, everything that they did suggests that they're amateurs. where they placed the weapon, the fact that they didn't o obscure themselves when they walked down the street, the primitive nature of the explosives. but we've been focused on these two spiders, most media is not talking about the search for the spider web. did they get training, did they get weapons, did they get travel? >> neither of these suspects are on a watch list or were on a watch list. the older brother goes to russia, comes back, starts posting videos online about islam, about terrorism. did we miss this? was there something where we should have actually been able to know? >> posting videos is a free speech issue, and if were still in the fbi, we would be very cautious about looking at something like that. because you're allowed to be a radical in this country. this country is based
you can't bet on what you think in an environment like this. you've got to understand that if there is a network, we can't pretend that there's not. so when you're looking at these two kids, to me, everything that they did suggests that they're amateurs. where they placed the weapon, the fact that they didn't o obscure themselves when they walked down the street, the primitive nature of the explosives. but we've been focused on these two spiders, most media is not talking about the search for...
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Apr 17, 2013
04/13
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a one-two punch over concerns between european credit and also some worries about the global growth environment. we think we may have a little bit of a pause here, but we're going to see continued growth through the year. it will be rewarded by take risk in the stock market. >> why? >> because with growth keeping up and inflation being under control, monetary policy is going to stay very easy, and we see that as being something that's going to lead to equity returns being positive. >> you have to admit, we've had a very good first quarter, 10% gains for most of the averages, 15% at the most extreme. aren't we due for a correction of some kind? >> well, we could absolutely have a pause here and a small correction wouldn't be off the realm, but without a big downturn in data or a big change in monetary policy expectations, i think it will be relative tame. >> what have you thought of the earnings so far this season? >> they've been modestly disappointing. we got some news today about corporate business jet appetite that was a little bit disappointing. but then look at the fed beige book report to
a one-two punch over concerns between european credit and also some worries about the global growth environment. we think we may have a little bit of a pause here, but we're going to see continued growth through the year. it will be rewarded by take risk in the stock market. >> why? >> because with growth keeping up and inflation being under control, monetary policy is going to stay very easy, and we see that as being something that's going to lead to equity returns being positive....
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Apr 23, 2013
04/13
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and that environment has a long tail to it, which should produce cash flow in the u.s. economy, 5% or better. >> so why isn't the public playing this market? why are they not in this market? >> the most recent memory in all of their heads, every single macro event risk they've all seen, whether it's the situation in europe or closer to home, the financial crisis, and that's going to last for quite a long period of time, especially since the household itself, the liability shelf, is still there and it's still in repair. >> and if anything that prolongs that rally, right? >> no question about it. that's the misguided notion out there, which is, you want to not all rush in there at once, but the reality is, no, that's where you get multiples go up to 18, 19 times and get the boom bust. the first move is cash to equities, not fixed income to equities. that second move is fixed income flows to equities, when the economy really gets above 3%. >> what are you going to buy here? >> well, we like almost everything in equities. our favorites would be the largest of the large cap
and that environment has a long tail to it, which should produce cash flow in the u.s. economy, 5% or better. >> so why isn't the public playing this market? why are they not in this market? >> the most recent memory in all of their heads, every single macro event risk they've all seen, whether it's the situation in europe or closer to home, the financial crisis, and that's going to last for quite a long period of time, especially since the household itself, the liability shelf, is...
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Apr 16, 2013
04/13
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how do you see the regulatory environment playing out? and how are you going to improve margins in this scenario? >> actually, my margins improved by 140 basis points over the quarter. so we had a record margin for the first quarter. so over a 40% margin. i was asked specifically, can our margins even improve more, and i said, well, we have a lot of pressures on regulatory issues. we're reinvesting in our company by hiring more people. so i was just being cautionary. but to answer your question, our margins have had improved year after year. they're going to improve from 2012 into 2013. i believe our business model will allow margins to improve, despite, despite, we're spending at more money on lawyers, spending a lot more time working with our regulators. and i think this is just the cost of doing business moving forward. >> we'll leave it there. larry, always wonderful to have you on the program. thanks so much for your time. >> thanks, maria. >> larry fink, black rock. we have a market up 112 points. we are still waiting on answers com
how do you see the regulatory environment playing out? and how are you going to improve margins in this scenario? >> actually, my margins improved by 140 basis points over the quarter. so we had a record margin for the first quarter. so over a 40% margin. i was asked specifically, can our margins even improve more, and i said, well, we have a lot of pressures on regulatory issues. we're reinvesting in our company by hiring more people. so i was just being cautionary. but to answer your...
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Apr 19, 2013
04/13
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i mean, we know that many refugees that come from conflict situations come into peaceful environments, and all of a sudden, and they're not given appropriate psychological pair, can also have enormous problems assimilating in a very different culture. >> and in terms of these two individuals living in cambridge, massachusetts, having come from chechnya, any thoughts there, why cambridge? why they've been living here together for so many years? why they chose boston? >> well, i think on the east coast that there is a burgeoning, it's by no means as large as europe, of course, the largest population of chechen is in austria, but i think there is a growing group of people along the east coast, in d.c., and in new york, and in boston, and clearly, chechens are also russian speaking, so there is, obviously, a large contingent of russian-speaking people also in boston. and from how i understand it, it seems as though their uncle was already here in the united states, and i think that they had other friends who could help them to settle into the country, and to assimilate, so, often, you cho
i mean, we know that many refugees that come from conflict situations come into peaceful environments, and all of a sudden, and they're not given appropriate psychological pair, can also have enormous problems assimilating in a very different culture. >> and in terms of these two individuals living in cambridge, massachusetts, having come from chechnya, any thoughts there, why cambridge? why they've been living here together for so many years? why they chose boston? >> well, i think...